North Florida
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
959  Andelka Tancic JR 21:31
1,119  Elle Baker JR 21:40
1,131  Alyssa Brandt JR 21:41
1,158  Alessandra Valdes SO 21:43
1,440  Lauren Gonzalez SO 22:01
1,970  Alexis Irwin SO 22:33
2,313  Mary Kate Thyfault FR 22:56
2,383  Kelly Hensley FR 23:01
2,951  Saphara Harrell FR 23:46
3,027  Morgan Rodriguez FR 23:55
3,396  Jessica Kafer SO 24:53
3,410  Amanda Sebetka JR 24:57
3,517  Danielle Turk FR 25:26
3,620  Fallon Mayer JR 26:00
3,649  Kaitlin King FR 26:10
3,687  Tayler Johnson FR 26:28
3,777  Savannah Bradley JR 27:29
National Rank #191 of 340
South Region Rank #21 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.5%
Top 20 in Regional 92.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andelka Tancic Elle Baker Alyssa Brandt Alessandra Valdes Lauren Gonzalez Alexis Irwin Mary Kate Thyfault Kelly Hensley Saphara Harrell Morgan Rodriguez Jessica Kafer
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 1224 21:46 21:39 21:59 21:17 22:05 22:38 22:23
UCF Invitational 10/18 1265 21:48 23:05 21:47 22:02 22:30 23:02 23:55 23:56 24:54
Atlantic Sun Championship 11/02 1238 21:21 21:48 22:03 22:17 22:18 22:30 23:06 23:00 23:38
South Region Championships 11/15 1191 21:16 21:34 21:15 21:34 21:35 22:38 23:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.1 510 0.5 4.8 7.1 9.0 11.4 11.9 11.7 11.0 10.5 8.3 6.4 4.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andelka Tancic 86.3
Elle Baker 97.7
Alyssa Brandt 99.4
Alessandra Valdes 100.6
Lauren Gonzalez 123.5
Alexis Irwin 156.9
Mary Kate Thyfault 180.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.5% 0.5 10
11 4.8% 4.8 11
12 7.1% 7.1 12
13 9.0% 9.0 13
14 11.4% 11.4 14
15 11.9% 11.9 15
16 11.7% 11.7 16
17 11.0% 11.0 17
18 10.5% 10.5 18
19 8.3% 8.3 19
20 6.4% 6.4 20
21 4.6% 4.6 21
22 1.5% 1.5 22
23 0.6% 0.6 23
24 0.3% 0.3 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0